Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.433175 0.498736 0.570468 0.654722 0.750925 0.857297 0.983791
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.354517 0.446594 0.556199 0.696064 0.869585 1.077576 1.345625
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.291352 0.398535 0.536325 0.725898 0.979376 1.306020 1.758319
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.241848 0.357068 0.516100 0.750572 1.086310 1.548404 2.231254
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.206182 0.326715 0.504357 0.783469 1.208958 1.830747 2.805393
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.171861 0.291034 0.477794 0.789168 1.292258 2.069316 3.355320
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.148937 0.268241 0.466133 0.814605 1.408490 2.373403 4.051274
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.125233 0.239190 0.438689 0.808662 1.471734 2.601521 4.659268
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109261 0.220453 0.425150 0.823467 1.571373 2.902825 5.433456
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.091948 0.195646 0.396048 0.804498 1.606487 3.095372 6.042652
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.083512 0.186593 0.394877 0.837763 1.743529 3.490395 7.078171
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077030 0.180266 0.397832 0.879310 1.902442 3.947409 8.294712
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.067658 0.166055 0.382571 0.881716 1.984642 4.270655 9.303394
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.059236 0.152308 0.365914 0.878316 2.054242 4.578695 10.327144
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052225 0.140481 0.351452 0.877327 2.128974 4.908111 11.444422
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046529 0.130739 0.340105 0.881600 2.216296 5.277002 12.701259
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042497 0.124484 0.336089 0.902901 2.347056 5.761283 14.287772
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037708 0.115154 0.322642 0.898179 2.413636 6.106350 15.597900
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034661 0.110090 0.319406 0.919380 2.548682 6.632590 17.415817
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030686 0.101434 0.304882 0.907720 2.596567 6.951897 18.766954
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028086 0.096416 0.299633 0.920925 2.713175 7.460211 20.668176
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024629 0.087901 0.282692 0.897629 2.725457 7.700412 21.904341
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023287 0.086067 0.285427 0.933113 2.910439 8.424543 24.533426